A state’s tipping-point chance is the probability it will give the Electoral College winner their 270th electoral vote. The ...
Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
Harris has been a vocal advocate for abortion rights even before she began her campaign. In March, she became the first vice ...
Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages.
Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In ...
The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, ...
Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this ...
The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, ...